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FX and sovereign external riskEgyptVerified brief

CBE Daily Rates Show USD ~EGP 52.53/52.63: Short-Term FX Reference Tightens Pricing for Sovereign and Importers

CBE and major banks published the same USD/EGP reference for 11 Oct 2026. That published quote anchors short‑term FX pricing, reduces immediate uncertainty for importers and near‑dated external obligations, and influences the sovereign's short‑end financing premium if it remains aligned with market rates.

The Central Bank of Egypt and major banks published identical reference quotes for 11 Oct 2026 (USD roughly EGP 52.53/52.63; EUR and GBP also listed). These official large-bank listings are the on‑run reference used by corporates and the sovereign to calculate import bills, service short‑dated external obligations priced in dollars, and to mark FX positions for treasury counterparties.

The immediate transmission into African credit is via pricing and perceived reserve adequacy: a stable official USD/EGP listing reduces one source of pricing uncertainty for short‑end local‑currency treasury bills and the sovereign's upcoming short‑dated dollar needs, limiting demand for a refinancing premium on near‑term external paper. Where a gap exists between these official rates and parallel market rates, the wedge typically forces higher effective dollar costs for importers and can pressure the sovereign's short‑term external liquidity; the published parity here reduces that specific friction for dated obligations referencing bank quotes.

Compared with regional peers with floating-market benchmarks (eg, Kenya where interbank rates drive pricing), Egypt's large‑bank/CBE published quote functions more as an administered anchor. That anchor compresses day‑to‑day FX pass‑through into headline importers' cost and reduces immediate short‑end volatility in EGP‑denominated bills relative to countries lacking a single dominant published quote. The desk will watch whether the published rate begins to diverge from independent parallel‑market prints; widening gaps would quickly raise implied external financing stress for short maturities and push up the sovereign's short‑end credit premium.

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Price Discovery

Egypt sovereign curve

Latest server-calculated mid yield by maturity. Points are observed Price Discovery levels, not an interpolated valuation curve.

18 priced bonds
10.54%9.32%8.11%6.89%5.68%20272035204420522061Egypt 27 · Jan 2027 · 6.319%Egypt 27 Sept · Sept 2027 · 6.585%Egypt 28 · Feb 2028 · 6.856%Egypt 29 · Mar 2029 · 7.129%Egypt 30 · Feb 2030 · 7.430%Egypt 31 · Feb 2031 · 7.732%Egypt 32 Jan · Jan 2032 · 8.132%Egypt 32 May · May 2032 · 8.194%Egypt 33 Feb · Feb 2033 · 8.311%Egypt 33 Sept · Sept 2033 · 8.388%Egypt 40 · Apr 2040 · 8.520%Egypt 47 · Jan 2047 · 9.823%Egypt 48 · Feb 2048 · 9.799%Egypt 49 · Mar 2049 · 9.832%Egypt 50 · May 2050 · 9.833%Egypt 51 · Sept 2051 · 9.893%Egypt 59 · Nov 2059 · 9.818%Egypt 61 · Feb 2061 · 9.770%
Move across the curve to inspect a bondAs of
BondMid pxYield
  • Egypt 27Jan 2027100.3176.319%
  • Egypt 27 SeptSept 202799.2766.585%
  • Egypt 28Feb 202899.6476.856%
  • Egypt 29Mar 2029101.0057.129%
  • Egypt 30Feb 2030103.4327.430%
  • Egypt 31Feb 203193.2497.732%
  • Egypt 32 JanJan 203295.4438.132%
  • Egypt 32 MayMay 203297.4628.194%
  • Egypt 33 FebFeb 2033105.4818.311%
  • Egypt 33 SeptSept 203394.3448.388%
  • Egypt 40Apr 204086.9198.520%
  • Egypt 47Jan 204788.4319.823%
  • Egypt 48Feb 204883.1379.799%
  • Egypt 49Mar 204989.8129.832%
  • Egypt 50May 205091.2429.833%
  • Egypt 51Sept 205189.4749.893%
  • Egypt 59Nov 205983.7079.818%
  • Egypt 61Feb 206177.6219.770%

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